Record 5th Consecutive Term on Card for Charismatic Naveen

Bhubaneswar: While there have been hectic debates and speculations regarding the winners and losers in the 2019 elections following the release of exit poll results by various national media houses soon after the completion of the final phase of polls on Sunday, but in Odisha the outcome of the simultaneous elections is pretty clear. 

The ruling Biju Janata Dal in Odisha is all set to retain power for the fifth consecutive term with a landslide victory. 

Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik-led BJD, which had won 117 seats in 2014 assembly elections, is poised to win around 115-120 seats in the 147-member Odisha assembly, according to highly reliable sources and various survey reports based on the moods of the voters after conclusion of four phases elections for 146 seats in the state.  

Riding on its immense organizational strength, Naveen’s clean image and the government’s pro-people and development oriented agenda over 19 years in power, the BJD is expected to come up impressive results in constituencies like Jajpur, Kendrapara, Jagatsinghpur, Berhampur, Cuttack, Bhubaneswar, Sambalpur, Bargarh,  Balasore, Keonjhar, Aska and Kandhamal.

Odisha Assembly Elections 2019 Results Prediction  

(1) Bargarh

PADAMPUR – BJD 
BIJEPUR – BJD 
BARGARH – BJD 
ATTABIRA – BJD
BHATLI – BJD 
BRAJARAJNAGAR – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD 
JHARSUGUDA – BJD 

(2) Sundargarh

TALSARA – CONG 
SUNDARGARH – BJD 
BIRAMITRAPUR – CONG 
RAGHUNATHPALI – BJD
ROURKELA – BJD 
RAJGANGPUR – BJD 
BONAI – CPM 

(3) Sambalpur

KUCHINDA – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
RENGALI – BJD
SAMBALPUR – BJD 
RAIRAKHOL – BJD 
DEOGARH – BJP 
CHENDIPADA – BJD 
ATHAMALIK – BJD 

(4) Keonjhar 
 
TELKOI – BJD
GHASIPURA – BJD 
ANANDAPUR – Close Contest Between BJD and Congress  
PATNA – BJD
KEONJHAR – BJD 
CHAMPUA –BJD
KARANJIA – BJD 

(5) Mayurbhanj

JASHIPUR – BJD 
SARASKANA – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
RAIRANGPUR – BJD 
BANGIRIPOSI –  BJD
UDALA – BJP
BARIPADA – BJD
MORADA – BJD

 6) Balasore

BADASAHI – BJD
JALESWAR – BJD
BHOGRAI – BJD 
BASTA – BJD
BALASORE – BJD
REMUNA – BJD 
NILGIRI –  BJD 

(7) Bhadark

SORO-  BJD  
SIMULIA – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
BHANDARIPOKHARI – BJD
BHADRAK – BJD
BASUDEVPUR – BJD
DHAMNAGAR  -.Close Contest Between BJD and Congress  
CHANDABALI – BJD 

(8) Jajpur

BINJHARPUR – BJD 
BARI –Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
BARACHANA – BJD
DHARMASALA – BJD
JAJPUR – BJD
KOREI  –  BJD
 SUKINDA  –  BJD

(9) Dhenkanal

DHENKANAL- BJD 
HINDOL- BJD 
KAMAKHYANAGAR – BJD 
PARJANGA – BJD  
PALLAHARA- Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
TALCHER- BJD  
ANGUL – BJD/Congress 

(10) Bolangir 

BIRMAHARAJPUR – BJD 
SONEPUR – BJD 
LOISINGHA –BJP 
PATNAGARH – BJD 
BOLANGIR –.BJD
TITLAGARH -Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
KANTABANJI– BJD

(11) Kalahandi

NUAPADA: BJD 
KHARIAR – Congress 
LANJIGARH – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD  
JUNAGARH – BJD 
DHARMAGARH – BJD 
BHAWANIPATNA – BJD 
NARLA: BJD

(12) Nabarangpur

UMERKOTE:  BJP
JHARIGAM: BJD
NABARANGPUR: BJD 
DABUGAM: Congress 
KOTPAD:  Close Contest Between Congress and BJD
MALKANGIRI: BJD 
CHITRAKONDA: BJD

(13) Kandhamal

BALIGUDA: BJD 
G.UDAYGIRI: BJD 
PHULBANI: BJD
KANTAMAL:  BJD
BOUDH: BJP
DASPALLA: BJD 
BHANJANAGAR: BJD 

(14) Aska

POLASARA:  BJD
KABISURJYANAGAR:  BJD
KHALLIKOTE: BJD
ASKA: BJD 
SURADA: BJD 
SANAKHEMUNDI: BJD 
HINJILI: BJD 

(15) Berhampur

CHATRAPUR – BJD 
GOPALPUR: Close Contest Between BJD and BJP
BERHAMPUR: BJD
DIGAPAHANDI: BJD
CHIKITI: BJD
MOHANA: BJD 
PARALAKHEMUNDI: BJP/Independent 

(16) Koraput

GUNUPUR:  BJD
BISSAM CUTTACK: BJD
RAYAGADA: BJD
LAXMIPUR: BJD
JEYPORE: Close Contest Between Congress and BJD 
KORAPUT: BJD
POTTANGI: BJD 

(17) Cuttack 

BARAMBA: BJP
BANKI: BJD 
ATHAGARH: BJD
BARABATI-CUTTCK: Close Contest Between BJD and Congress
CHOUDWAR-CUTTACK: BJD
CUTTACK SADAR: BJD
KHANDAPADA: BJD

(18) Kendrapara 

SALIPUR: BJD
MAHANGA: BJD
PATKURA: Election to be held 
KENDRAPARA: BJD
AUL: BJD 
RAJANAGAR: BJD 
MAHAKALPADA:  BJD

(19) Jagatsinghpur

NIALI: BJD
PARADEEP: BJD
TIRTOL: BJD
BALIKUDA-ERSAMA:  BJD
JAGATSINGHPUR: Congress 
KAKATPUR: BJD
NIMAPARA: BJD 

(20) Puri

PURI: BJD
BRAHMAGIRI: BJP/BJD 
SATYABADI: BJD
PIPILI: BJD
CHILIKA: BJD 
RANPUR: BJD 
NAYAGARH: BJD 

21(Bhubaneswar)

JAYADEV: BJD
BHUBANESWAR-CENTRAL BJD
BHUBANESWAR-NORTH: BJD
EKAMRA-BHUBANESWAR: BJD
JATNI: Congress 
BEGUNIA: BJD.
KHORDHA: Close Contest Between BJP and BJD

Similarly, the BJD will have upper hand in the Lok Sabha elections with probably winning around 18-20 seats of 21 parliamentary seats. 
Except Sundargarh, Balangir and Bhadrak, the ruling BJD is expected to win rest 18 Lok Sabha seats in this election.

Odisha Lok Sabha Elections 2019 Results Prediction

BJD- 18/ BJP- 3/ Cong- 0 

Bargarh: BJD 
Sambalpur: BJD 
Keonjhar: BJD 
 Mayurbhanj – BJD 
Balasore : BJD
Jajpur: (BJD) 
  Dhenkanal : BJD 
Kalahandi – BJD 
Nabarangpur – BJD 
Kandhamal – BJD
Aska – BJD 
Berhampur  – BJD 
Koraput – BJD 
Cuttack – BJD 
Kendrapara- BJD 
Jagatsinghpur- BJD 
 Puri- BJD 
Bhubaneswar – BJD 
Sundargarh – BJP
Balangir – BJP 
Bhadrak – BJP

Even though it was a fierce triangular contest in Odisha with the BJD, BJP and Congress in the race, for the most part the main fight was between candidates of the BJD and the BJP. 

Both Prime Minister Narendra Modi and BJP president Amit Shah campaigned extensively across Odisha, along with several top leaders from the party. 

Modi visited Odisha 10 times and Shah toured 18 times. Around 50 national BJP leaders criss-crossed the state for election campaigns.  While a wide array of issues related to the state jostled for the electorate’s attention during the campaign, the polls were fought mainly on the Naveen-versus-Modi axis. 

The BJP is likely to win six assembly seats while the party will face close contest with its arch rival BJD in 12 assembly seats. 

Naveen addressed more than 100 rallies, the highest in any election season. He also contested from two Assembly constituencies for the first time in the 19 years he has been Chief Minister.  

Congress chief Rahul Gandhi addressed only five rallies in the state. Significantly, while a triangular contest this time meant that anti-BJD votes got divided between BJP and Congress, thus giving the BJD a clear advantage, a considerably weak campaign by the Congress ensured a direct fight between the BJD and the BJP almost across the state.

It was the towering personality of Naveen Patnaik and his government’s developmental works, Odisha withstood the Modi wave in 2014 and 2019 is not be much different. The Modi factor has some impact on the urban voters but the influence over rural voters is considerably low, said a political analyst. 

In 2014 Modi campaigned vigorously for the BJP in Odisha, yet the party could not win more than one seat.  

The exit polls, which are being published by national media outlets, have many times proved wrong. In 2009, the exit polls predicted 6 to 7 seats out of 21 for BJD, but the party won 14. Similarly, in 2014 the exit polls gave 12-14 seats, but it won 20 seats. Similarly, this time also all the Exit Polls will be proven wrong, said a BJD leader.