Bhubaneswar: While there have been hectic debates and speculations regarding the winners and losers in the 2019 elections following the release of exit poll results by various national media houses soon after the completion of the final phase of polls on Sunday, but in Odisha the outcome of the simultaneous elections is pretty clear.
The ruling Biju Janata Dal in Odisha is all set to retain power for the fifth consecutive term with a landslide victory.
Chief Minister Naveen Patnaik-led BJD, which had won 117 seats in 2014 assembly elections, is poised to win around 115-120 seats in the 147-member Odisha assembly, according to highly reliable sources and various survey reports based on the moods of the voters after conclusion of four phases elections for 146 seats in the state.
Riding on its immense organizational strength, Naveen’s clean image and the government’s pro-people and development oriented agenda over 19 years in power, the BJD is expected to come up impressive results in constituencies like Jajpur, Kendrapara, Jagatsinghpur, Berhampur, Cuttack, Bhubaneswar, Sambalpur, Bargarh, Balasore, Keonjhar, Aska and Kandhamal.
Odisha Assembly Elections 2019 Results Prediction
(1) Bargarh
PADAMPUR – BJD
BIJEPUR – BJD
BARGARH – BJD
ATTABIRA – BJD
BHATLI – BJD
BRAJARAJNAGAR – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
JHARSUGUDA – BJD
(2) Sundargarh
TALSARA – CONG
SUNDARGARH – BJD
BIRAMITRAPUR – CONG
RAGHUNATHPALI – BJD
ROURKELA – BJD
RAJGANGPUR – BJD
BONAI – CPM
(3) Sambalpur
KUCHINDA – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
RENGALI – BJD
SAMBALPUR – BJD
RAIRAKHOL – BJD
DEOGARH – BJP
CHENDIPADA – BJD
ATHAMALIK – BJD
(4) Keonjhar
TELKOI – BJD
GHASIPURA – BJD
ANANDAPUR – Close Contest Between BJD and Congress
PATNA – BJD
KEONJHAR – BJD
CHAMPUA –BJD
KARANJIA – BJD
(5) Mayurbhanj
JASHIPUR – BJD
SARASKANA – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
RAIRANGPUR – BJD
BANGIRIPOSI – BJD
UDALA – BJP
BARIPADA – BJD
MORADA – BJD
6) Balasore
BADASAHI – BJD
JALESWAR – BJD
BHOGRAI – BJD
BASTA – BJD
BALASORE – BJD
REMUNA – BJD
NILGIRI – BJD
(7) Bhadark
SORO- BJD
SIMULIA – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
BHANDARIPOKHARI – BJD
BHADRAK – BJD
BASUDEVPUR – BJD
DHAMNAGAR -.Close Contest Between BJD and Congress
CHANDABALI – BJD
(8) Jajpur
BINJHARPUR – BJD
BARI –Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
BARACHANA – BJD
DHARMASALA – BJD
JAJPUR – BJD
KOREI – BJD
SUKINDA – BJD
(9) Dhenkanal
DHENKANAL- BJD
HINDOL- BJD
KAMAKHYANAGAR – BJD
PARJANGA – BJD
PALLAHARA- Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
TALCHER- BJD
ANGUL – BJD/Congress
(10) Bolangir
BIRMAHARAJPUR – BJD
SONEPUR – BJD
LOISINGHA –BJP
PATNAGARH – BJD
BOLANGIR –.BJD
TITLAGARH -Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
KANTABANJI– BJD
(11) Kalahandi
NUAPADA: BJD
KHARIAR – Congress
LANJIGARH – Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
JUNAGARH – BJD
DHARMAGARH – BJD
BHAWANIPATNA – BJD
NARLA: BJD
(12) Nabarangpur
UMERKOTE: BJP
JHARIGAM: BJD
NABARANGPUR: BJD
DABUGAM: Congress
KOTPAD: Close Contest Between Congress and BJD
MALKANGIRI: BJD
CHITRAKONDA: BJD
(13) Kandhamal
BALIGUDA: BJD
G.UDAYGIRI: BJD
PHULBANI: BJD
KANTAMAL: BJD
BOUDH: BJP
DASPALLA: BJD
BHANJANAGAR: BJD
(14) Aska
POLASARA: BJD
KABISURJYANAGAR: BJD
KHALLIKOTE: BJD
ASKA: BJD
SURADA: BJD
SANAKHEMUNDI: BJD
HINJILI: BJD
(15) Berhampur
CHATRAPUR – BJD
GOPALPUR: Close Contest Between BJD and BJP
BERHAMPUR: BJD
DIGAPAHANDI: BJD
CHIKITI: BJD
MOHANA: BJD
PARALAKHEMUNDI: BJP/Independent
(16) Koraput
GUNUPUR: BJD
BISSAM CUTTACK: BJD
RAYAGADA: BJD
LAXMIPUR: BJD
JEYPORE: Close Contest Between Congress and BJD
KORAPUT: BJD
POTTANGI: BJD
(17) Cuttack
BARAMBA: BJP
BANKI: BJD
ATHAGARH: BJD
BARABATI-CUTTCK: Close Contest Between BJD and Congress
CHOUDWAR-CUTTACK: BJD
CUTTACK SADAR: BJD
KHANDAPADA: BJD
(18) Kendrapara
SALIPUR: BJD
MAHANGA: BJD
PATKURA: Election to be held
KENDRAPARA: BJD
AUL: BJD
RAJANAGAR: BJD
MAHAKALPADA: BJD
(19) Jagatsinghpur
NIALI: BJD
PARADEEP: BJD
TIRTOL: BJD
BALIKUDA-ERSAMA: BJD
JAGATSINGHPUR: Congress
KAKATPUR: BJD
NIMAPARA: BJD
(20) Puri
PURI: BJD
BRAHMAGIRI: BJP/BJD
SATYABADI: BJD
PIPILI: BJD
CHILIKA: BJD
RANPUR: BJD
NAYAGARH: BJD
21(Bhubaneswar)
JAYADEV: BJD
BHUBANESWAR-CENTRAL BJD
BHUBANESWAR-NORTH: BJD
EKAMRA-BHUBANESWAR: BJD
JATNI: Congress
BEGUNIA: BJD.
KHORDHA: Close Contest Between BJP and BJD
Similarly, the BJD will have upper hand in the Lok Sabha elections with probably winning around 18-20 seats of 21 parliamentary seats.
Except Sundargarh, Balangir and Bhadrak, the ruling BJD is expected to win rest 18 Lok Sabha seats in this election.
Odisha Lok Sabha Elections 2019 Results Prediction
BJD- 18/ BJP- 3/ Cong- 0
Bargarh: BJD
Sambalpur: BJD
Keonjhar: BJD
Mayurbhanj – BJD
Balasore : BJD
Jajpur: (BJD)
Dhenkanal : BJD
Kalahandi – BJD
Nabarangpur – BJD
Kandhamal – BJD
Aska – BJD
Berhampur – BJD
Koraput – BJD
Cuttack – BJD
Kendrapara- BJD
Jagatsinghpur- BJD
Puri- BJD
Bhubaneswar – BJD
Sundargarh – BJP
Balangir – BJP
Bhadrak – BJP
Even though it was a fierce triangular contest in Odisha with the BJD, BJP and Congress in the race, for the most part the main fight was between candidates of the BJD and the BJP.
Both Prime Minister Narendra Modi and BJP president Amit Shah campaigned extensively across Odisha, along with several top leaders from the party.
Modi visited Odisha 10 times and Shah toured 18 times. Around 50 national BJP leaders criss-crossed the state for election campaigns. While a wide array of issues related to the state jostled for the electorate’s attention during the campaign, the polls were fought mainly on the Naveen-versus-Modi axis.
The BJP is likely to win six assembly seats while the party will face close contest with its arch rival BJD in 12 assembly seats.
Naveen addressed more than 100 rallies, the highest in any election season. He also contested from two Assembly constituencies for the first time in the 19 years he has been Chief Minister.
Congress chief Rahul Gandhi addressed only five rallies in the state. Significantly, while a triangular contest this time meant that anti-BJD votes got divided between BJP and Congress, thus giving the BJD a clear advantage, a considerably weak campaign by the Congress ensured a direct fight between the BJD and the BJP almost across the state.
It was the towering personality of Naveen Patnaik and his government’s developmental works, Odisha withstood the Modi wave in 2014 and 2019 is not be much different. The Modi factor has some impact on the urban voters but the influence over rural voters is considerably low, said a political analyst.
In 2014 Modi campaigned vigorously for the BJP in Odisha, yet the party could not win more than one seat.
The exit polls, which are being published by national media outlets, have many times proved wrong. In 2009, the exit polls predicted 6 to 7 seats out of 21 for BJD, but the party won 14. Similarly, in 2014 the exit polls gave 12-14 seats, but it won 20 seats. Similarly, this time also all the Exit Polls will be proven wrong, said a BJD leader.